Risky Business
Value, quality, timing, and risk. This balancing act of most every business
situation is not lost in the creation and execution of real estate solutions.
Unlike the first three, that draw immediate attention because they comprise
the scorecard of a completed transaction, risk is rarely mentioned. This
is most often the case, because risk mitigation is part of the process rather
than the result. Still, a project that ignores risk is certain to fail your
company at some level of your business scorecard. Real estate risks can
be fatal (losing a transaction that is a critical element of a company’s
business strategy) or costly (taking too much time, money, or energy and
attention). Without a doubt, every real estate process will be exposed
to and influenced by risk, and management must choose how to engage it
and mitigate it.
Real estate risk comes in many forms and can touch on every phase of
a real estate project. While not intended to be a complete list, some
types of real estate risk may include:
- Strategic Risk - creating a real estate solution
that fails to promote your business objectives.
- Transaction Risk – banking on a transaction
partner that cannot or will not complete the deal
- Design Risk – designing or accepting space
that is inefficient for your operations
- Negotiation Risk - tipping your hand to your adversary
or having a bluff called with no alternative move in reserve
- Financial Risk – waiting for your landlord
to complete the construction of your premises only to find out that
he does not have the financial ability to fund the improvements
- Construction Risk- suffering from delays or obstacles
in the completion of your premises
- Credit Risk - turning control of a space over to
a tenant or subtenant, who subsequently defaults
- Relocation Risk - allowing your business operations,
technology, or client focus to slip during the relocation process
- Competitive Risk – losing your preferred property
to someone else without a viable back up solution to go to
- Timing Risk – being forced into a solution
(such as when you approach the expiration of a lease) after failing
to provide adequate time to plan for and execute an optimal solution
- Economic Risk – standing still while changes
in market pricing, interest rates, or other economic factors affect
your interests
- Government Risk - tying-up resources in a property
that may require rezoning, special approvals, or other time-consuming
issues, and being unable to achieve those approvals or resolve those
issues in a timely manner
- Third -Party Risk – being overly dependent
on the actions of third-parties that can derail or impede your project
- Internal Risk – allowing internal politics
or approval processes to jeopardize the timing or completion of your
project
Dealing with risk is defined by the approach that a company takes to run
a real estate process from day one. Some companies adopt a reactive approach,
while others take a proactive, strategic approach to creating and executing
a solution designed to control and mitigate risk. Following is a hypothetical
example (in the context of a company acquiring space through a lease)
that seeks to highlight the differences between the risk-intensive reactive
approach and a more orderly, strategic approach:
Contrary to popular belief, real estate negotiations have only a little
to do with boardroom bravado and everything to do with a) setting targets
based on defined business objectives, b) understanding what your adversary
needs, c) being knowledgeable as to all of the business terms that can
potentially be negotiated, and d) bringing leverage to negotiations
by ensuring that a suitable alternative (back-up) solutions are available.
A traditional, reactive real estate process typically takes a linear
approach to looking at buildings, expressing interest, negotiating terms,
and determining how to fit into a particular building or property. Exposure
to the negative effects of Negotiation Risk is high in this situation
because:
- Any time a company’s mindset is on how one can fit into a
building, the focus of negotiations shifts away from promoting the
company’s business objectives (i.e. design efficiency, secure
technology, expansion rights, flexibility for contraction, financial
structure, and more). In this type of reactive approach, the focus
shifts to simplistic considerations of square footage, construction
costs, and rental rates needed to “make the deal”. Such
an approach more often erodes the opportunity for the company to achieve
its business objectives and reduces the exercise to simply acquiring
space. (Conversely, a strategic approach to real estate mitigates
risk by conceptualizing a real estate solution that can optimally
promote the business objectives of an organization and, then, by identifying
and negotiating toward opportunities in the real estate market that
come closest to the optimal solution).
- Any time that potential solutions are addressed individually or
sequentially, competitive market forces can not be used to one’s
advantage in the negotiation of real estate transactions.
- Any time “buildings” are pursued, rather than “solutions”,
material omissions result from not considering the opponent’s
motivations. (Conversely, a strategic approach will appreciate that
different opponents have different motivations for wanting to complete
a transaction and allow you to gain from them accordingly.).
Business is both the pursuit of opportunity and rewards and the navigation
of risk in all shapes and sizes. Real estate is not immune from the challenges
of any other business endeavor. Too many tenants and buyers of real estate
regard real estate as a commodity. They often incorrectly assume that
real estate can be picked off the shelf because “market forces”
can be relied upon to keep landlords and sellers of real estate in check.
However, unlike a can of soup, mass “market forces” do not
decide the type of space that will work best for your company, nor can
they predict who will compete against you to acquire property or who will
be motivated to compete for your tenancy at any given time. Furthermore,
mass market forces have no insight into your opposition’s preferences
and their motivations, and they do not know where your business is headed
and how it expects to get there. Only you and your advisors do, and if
you apply that knowledge to define an optimal solution and then execute
it through a process designed to achieve that solution and mitigate risk,
you are certain to turn in an impressive scorecard.
Real Estate Strategies Corporation, located in Kenilworth,
New Jersey, and serving clients throughout the country, helps companies
create and execute Business DRIVEN Real Estate Solutions...and
Opportunities, faster and with less risk. Visit www.realstrat.com.
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